This report describes different approaches used to develop risk models to predict child labour in the context of cocoa-growing areas of West Africa.

These models aim to improve the way in which interventions to prevent and address child labour are targeted to households where they are most needed, as part of a broader effort aim to scale up efforts to protect children from child labour, as well as to ensure access to their fundamental rights.

This study addresses the following questions:

  • What are the characteristics of the risk models that have been developed to date within the cocoa sector to predict child labour and how do they perform?
  • What has been learned from these experiences and what recommendations have emerged?

The report features case studies developed by, and in collaboration with different actors, including Cargill, Tony’s Chocolonely, Nestlé, ECOM, GIZ, SECO and ICI.

View a presentation of key findings from the study.

risk models for predicting child labour report cover

Presentation: Risk models for predicting child labour


Modèles de risque pour prédire le travail des enfants


Report: Risk models for predicting child labour